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[Still] The President of these here United States of America

A favorite time-sink for many on the fair Medusa
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Re: The New President

Post Sun Mar 08, 2009 11:17 pm

MacRua wrote:Analysis: Obama recovery plans sowing some unease
By TOM RAUM
Full URL
WASHINGTON (AP) —
"We've got a lot of scared investors and business people. I think the uncertainty is a real killer here," said Chris Edwards, director of fiscal policy for the libertarian Cato Institute.


Be careful folks. Check out what this link has to say. It's revealing even though Wikipedia's version must have been vigorously edited by the Cato Institute's advocates. It claims to be a non-partisan organization, but . . . .

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cato_Institute

I suspect the cascade of financial disaster could have been stopped in its tracks years ago by various government regulations, but by the time Obama came into power, things had gone too far.

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/03/08/magaz ... ure-t.html
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Re: The New President

Post Sun Mar 08, 2009 11:20 pm

It's still far too early in Obama's administration to say that anything being done is his fault or a credit to him.

If a new captain is handed the wheel of a listing and sinking tanker, that doesn't automatically mean it is that captain's fault if after only ten minutes the tanker is STILL listing and sinking.
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Re: The New President

Post Mon Mar 09, 2009 2:48 am

Clash Cadillac wrote:
LittleCupcakes wrote:Where has the compromise been? What exactly has Obama ceded any aspect of his assbackwards economic gambit ("plan" is far too exalted a word for that mess) to conservatism/libertarianism? I guess one could point to the small tax breaks he allowed in the lardass "stimulus", but those were purely political (so he could claim "bipartisanship"), but otherwise, where is the compromise?


So please tell me exactly what you believe the economic plan should be? If you are going to tell me you believe in supply side economics then please tell me why or point me to some examples of where this has worked. I am actually enjoying this crash course in economics (the little bit of internet browsing I did last night) more than I thought I would.


For a start:

Military:
Pull all troops currently stationed on foreign soil. It's not our business to have permanent troops in Germany or Korea or Iraq or wherever.

Abolish:
Federal Departments of: Education, Commerce, IRS, Labor, Transportation
The Education department is a wasteful, regulatory agency. It is not authorized by the Constitution, and does not educate one person. It sucks up taxpayer money and peels a good chunk off the top for it's massive bureaucracy, and then returns what it sees fit to the several states. Education is the states' prerogative.
The IRS does much the same. A simpler tax system (as previously discussed elsewhere) would eliminate the need for the bloated mass of uselessness called IRS.
The Department of Labor is basically a tax-sucking statistics generator (and the Feds have no business sticking their nose into private labor contracts anyway) and their few legit purposes are again better handled by the several states.

Better to take the money wasted on those departments and let the states keep it, or the people.

Revenues:
Higher tax rates encourage gaming the system (ESPECIALLY for the so-called rich). Lower tax rates are easier to swallow, and so people do not feel the need to resort to all sorts of shenanigans to avoid them, and (as with Reagan and JFK) tax revenues INCREASE over the longer term when rates are lowered; greater economic activity is stimulated AND rich folks PAY taxes instead of AVOIDING them. Is it not obvious that higher taxes PUNISH growth and success? And that growth and success are the driving factors in the economy? Why would one want to punish that which ought be encouraged?

Ditto for the capital gains tax. If the goal is more investment, then why punish people who do so? Of course, if the goal is punishment (how dare people make money at a greater rate than me?) then sure, go ahead. If we want to see investment plummet, by all means raise the capital gains tax (for our non-USA people, that's basically the tax on the sale of stocks). If you want to force the middle-class out of the market, then absolutely raise those rates. If you want to prevent people from becoming wealthy then please raise those taxes.

Encourage wealth formation. Encourage growth. Don't punish success. More people with more money equals more tax revenues.

A thought problem: If the tax rate for individuals were cut to ZERO % today and held there for one year, do you believe economic activity would increase or decrease? And if it were, say, 90%?

I can point to Ireland, Lithuania, Sweden (which is enjoying excellent results from corporate tax cuts), and Great Britain (which enjoyed a retail boost when the VAT was cut) for starters when it comes to stimulating examples.

Let's turn it around, Clash. Where have higher taxes helped an economy recover? And what would be your plan for stimulation, and where has that worked before? And where has a Euro-style economy provided income mobility, low unemployment, and incentives for work? Just see France for a dispositive case.
DzM wrote:Well yeah, but that's one of our fundamental differences Lil' C. I'm a dork that grew up on Star Trek and Spock's clichéd mantra that "the needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few." I happen to agree with the "soft socialist ideology of the left." I believe that it is the responsibility of the government to provide for the common good of its citizenry. This means more than just having a strong military. This means having a health care system that affordable and life-prolonging for all citizens (this does not mean there should not be better health care for those that can afford it, but rather that all citizens should be able to expect that broken bones will be set, infections treated, wounds salved, etc), food and shelter should be a basic right (again they need not be luxurious, but nobody should HAVE to live under bridges because no housing exists that they can afford), a quality education should be within the means of anyone willing to apply themselves, and so-on.

I had a much longer rant about this written but have decided to remove it.

Lil' C, and Benno too - Please tell me what you'd cut. If Gubment Spending is the boogeyman, and taxes are in support of that boogeyman, then what services would you cut? Here's a handy view of the 2009 Federal budget. Military spending accounts for 68% of that budget. All the rest - EVERYTHING - accounts for 32%. So what would you cut? Would you cut back on military spending? If so, how? Would you have an immediate and unilateral pull-out from Iraq and Afghanistan? We're dumping a crap-load of money into both those places, but pulling out immediately and unilaterally would make us even bigger jerks than we already are. The only thing I can think of worse than bombing some country into the stone-age is to bomb them into the stone age and then pull out leaving a note saying "sorry for the mess."

So where else would you cut? Social Security? Health & Human Services ("Medicare")? Non-military national security? Department of Education? Department of Transportation? Where would you cut?

Right now personal income tax accounts for ~33% of the income needed for the budget. ~15% is borrowed (meaning "gets added to the nation's debt"). Eliminate the IRS without making cuts and you end up with a 50% deficit (note that this is, of course, before all the bailouts and stimuli, etc). What do you propose cutting, specifically, to make up for the lost income? What "pork" will you trim?

I'm all for identifying what has worked and what has been mismanaged. I'm positive there's a crapload of wasteful spending going on in every single large institution, government or not. But shaving 5% from this budget and 10% from that budget won't reclaim our missing dollars. What programs en masse would you cut, and how would you propose that whatever service that program provides be recreated either in the public or private sectors?

DzM, rather than quote and refute (my apologies for having taken a liberty with your thoughtful, challenging post){edit: full quote added}, I have some bullet points to add to the above, which I believe respond to some of your queries:

I see that you tacitly accept that no compromise has been made by Obama? And that he is a devoted fanatic? Or did I misread you?

People DO have their limbs mended NOW. Nobody in the USA who needs immediate medical care is denied it. As you may have read from me before, however, the health care thing is such a difficult and large problem that crappy government health may in fact be the only practicable solution, and I remain on the fence.

Social Security was dumb then, and it's dumb now.

We feed millions of kids EVERY DAY with school lunch programs, WIC, and food stamps. Those are only slightly less objectionable in that kids are not adults, and so cannot control their own destiny.

It is not my responsibility to cover the shitty choices made by other people, though I am more than willing to help (by force of law) those who are TRULY unable to work, and to temporarily help those who become unemployed through no fault of their own. Do I "owe" anyone a place to live? NO!

Quality education IS available to anyone who wants it. Student loans (I have no problem with LOANS) and community colleges place higher education in the reach of anyone who really wants it (note to lefties: this actually means hard work, not a handout). Besides, not all people SHOULD go to college, nor are all people qualified. That's why we should have a system of trade schools, apprenticeships, and suchlike. McDonald's, Yale, or the military should not be the only choices.

Thanks in advance for the rebuttals, echo-chamberians. Sorry for my delay in replying, Clash and the rest who give a damn. I'm trying to stay away a bit, as I don't want to over-focus on this thread. I sometimes have thought about it at work, or while resting, or at other inappropriate times, and so I have found that less-frequent reading and posting has been better for me overall.
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Re: The New President

Post Fri Mar 13, 2009 5:11 am

I do so hate to get into this as it seems to be such a core belief with Lil' C that even the most convincing argument will pass without consideration. This is not meant to be an insult, merely an observation not unlike trying to convince a born again Christian that there is no scientific proof for their belief. If someone believes in something enough, they will look beyond anything that may challenge their core beliefs. But I do have to correct one definite problem with the previous post. I worked my way through college as a collector for a company contracted by the Department of Education.

It is a major misconception that the DOE is an enforcer for the public school systems. It is in fact the state, then the school's board of administration that dictate policies. Guidelines with respect to civil rights and equal opportunity are created by the legislative or judicial branches of government and even though laws are passed with regard to public education, the DOE has no enforcement branch. Enforcement is actually left to the judicial system.

The DOE is THE smallest government agency and if you like privatization it probably ranks #1. The main bulk of their responsibility is student loans (with which Lil' C does not have a problem). The DOE are the watchdogs of the banking systems. It has proven, time and time again, to be too much of a temptation for banks to offer risk free loans. They know that if the student doesn't pay, they'll get their money anyway.

We were contracted by the DOE to collect of faulty loans. In many cases it was poor judgement by the people (when a loan goes into federal default, a 25% penalty is added and interest accelerates - :shock: ) But in a large number of cases it was small banks handing out student loans with full knowledge that the person wasn't going to use the money for school. The DOE would usually catch these within a month, but a lot of loans can acculumate during this time.

Some frauds form fake schools and go around to neighborhoods and have people "sign-up" for a free class, but they are actually signing for student loans. The frauds send in the checks, cash them and disappear. We actually had to collect from the people who signed - even though it was fraud, they signed and were liable.

In this case, there can be no self-regulation. Banks had their opportunities early on in the student loan program and squandered it. There are still people that talk about using their student loan money to buy a car. What does the bank care, it's guaranteed that they will get their money either way. There has to be a watchdog agency when it comes to the student loan progam - the history of the DOE is one of constantly tracking new cases of fraud.

I do have to tell one good story from back in those days. I called up one person with a defaulted loan and said "Mr. X, you owe $X,XXX on your student loan, what are you intentions with this federal debt?" He answered, "It's paid." I checked the records and stated again, "no, it's not paid and the interest is accelerating, what are your intentions." He said, "No, I'm telling you that it is paid, when I got out of prison, I prayed and Jesus paid off all of my debts."

Which begs the question, Which bank does Jesus use? One would certainly think this as an advertising point.
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OI'Bama Meets OIroish

Post Tue Mar 17, 2009 8:00 pm

http://www.voanews.com/english/2009-03-17-voa31.cfm wrote:Obama Celebrates St. Patrick's Day with Irish Leaders
By VOA News
17 March 2009

Image
President Barack Obama receives a bowl of shamrocks from Irish Prime Minister Brian Cowen, 17 Mar 2009

U.S. President Barack Obama has welcomed Irish Prime Minister Brian Cowen to the White House for a traditional St. Patrick's Day visit.

The two men are holding talks on the global economy, immigration, and recent security developments in Northern Ireland. Mr. Obama said the bond between the United States and Ireland is one of the strongest bonds between two nations.

Mr. Cowen said Mr. Obama - who has some Irish heritage through his mother - reminds him that Ireland is not simply an island nation but a dispersed global family.

Mr. Obama is also meeting with Northern Ireland's First Minister Peter Robinson and his deputy, Martin McGuinness. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton met earlier in the day with Gerry Adams, head of Sinn Fein - the political arm of the Irish Republican Army.

The U.S. president announced he intends to nominate Daniel Rooney, chairman of the U.S. football team the Pittsburgh Steelers, as U.S. ambassador to Ireland. Rooney has campaigned for peace in Northern Ireland for years, and also supported Mr. Obama's presidential run.

U.S. and Irish leaders will not be spending all their time talking politics, however.

President Obama is marking St. Patrick's Day at the White House with a traditional shamrock ceremony (exchanging shamrock plants) and reception featuring an Irish bagpipe band. First lady Michelle Obama has seen to it that water in fountains on the White House lawns is tinted green, Ireland's national color.

Mr. Obama commended the Irish people for their commitment to the peace process in Northern Ireland, after dissident republicans killed a police officer and two soldiers outside Belfast last week. U.S. Secretary of State Clinton called the killers "criminals."

St. Patrick's Day is a feast honoring Ireland's patron saint. Tens of millions of Americans have Irish ancestors, many of whom traveled to the United States in the 1840s to escape Ireland's Great Famine.

To honor their service and contributions to the U.S., President Obama declared March 2009, "Irish-American Heritage Month." For St. Patrick's Day, parades and other festivities are being held throughout the United States and Ireland.
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Re: The New President

Post Fri Mar 20, 2009 4:56 pm

No one as Irish as Barack O'Bama

LA TIMES on Moneygall

http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld ... 0518.story
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Re: The New President

Post Sat Mar 21, 2009 4:04 am

How about this? Obama's appearance on Leno and ensuing comments have had everyone here in an uproar.

http://blog.seattlepi.com/thebigblog/ar ... blog_last3

Overly PC or not (the outrage, not Obama's bowling comment, obviously)?
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Re: The New President

Post Sat Mar 21, 2009 4:12 am

girlfromcountyhell wrote:How about this? Obama's appearance on Leno and ensuing comments have had everyone here in an uproar.

http://blog.seattlepi.com/thebigblog/ar ... blog_last3

Overly PC or not (the outrage, not Obama's bowling comment, obviously)?


What's remarkable is how little they seem to be able to throw at Mr Obama at this stage, ostensibly in a time of crisis. I'm delighted they think they have the luxury of questioning his political correctness.
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Re: The New President

Post Sat Mar 21, 2009 4:22 am

philipchevron wrote:
girlfromcountyhell wrote:How about this? Obama's appearance on Leno and ensuing comments have had everyone here in an uproar.

http://blog.seattlepi.com/thebigblog/ar ... blog_last3

Overly PC or not (the outrage, not Obama's bowling comment, obviously)?


What's remarkable is how little they seem to be able to throw at Mr Obama at this stage, ostensibly in a time of crisis. I'm delighted they think they have the luxury of questioning his political correctness.


Excellent point PC :D I didn't think of it that way.

The only thing that annoys me is that some of the people that I know who are trying to criticize him are one who throw around the word "retard" casually. Really?
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Re: The New President

Post Sat Mar 21, 2009 5:03 am

girlfromcountyhell wrote:
philipchevron wrote:
girlfromcountyhell wrote:How about this? Obama's appearance on Leno and ensuing comments have had everyone here in an uproar.

http://blog.seattlepi.com/thebigblog/ar ... blog_last3

Overly PC or not (the outrage, not Obama's bowling comment, obviously)?


What's remarkable is how little they seem to be able to throw at Mr Obama at this stage, ostensibly in a time of crisis. I'm delighted they think they have the luxury of questioning his political correctness.


Excellent point PC :D I didn't think of it that way.

The only thing that annoys me is that some of the people that I know who are trying to criticize him are one who throw around the word "retard" casually. Really?


The Irish-born stand up comic Tommy Tiernan is at his best when he is overturning the hypocrisy of the blindly PC, and in particular his lack of cant about disability is notable. He's worth watching in any of his DVDs but if you get Bovinity you also get his hilarious impersonation of Shane in the extra material. I've no idea why the segment is funny, it just is. The guy has "funny bones", I suppose.
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Re: The New President

Post Sun Mar 22, 2009 4:31 am

CPoguesFan wrote:I do so hate to get into this as it seems to be such a core belief with Lil' C that even the most convincing argument will pass without consideration. This is not meant to be an insult, merely an observation not unlike trying to convince a born again Christian that there is no scientific proof for their belief. If someone believes in something enough, they will look beyond anything that may challenge their core beliefs. But I do have to correct one definite problem with the previous post. I worked my way through college as a collector for a company contracted by the Department of Education.

It is a major misconception that the DOE is an enforcer for the public school systems. It is in fact the state, then the school's board of administration that dictate policies. Guidelines with respect to civil rights and equal opportunity are created by the legislative or judicial branches of government and even though laws are passed with regard to public education, the DOE has no enforcement branch. Enforcement is actually left to the judicial system.


Make a convincing argument, and perhaps I shall be convinced. I might add: "to fail to be convinced by my many arguments is nothing less than a failure of rationality."
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Re: The New President

Post Sun Mar 22, 2009 7:41 pm

LittleCupcakes wrote:Make a convincing argument, and perhaps I shall be convinced. I might add: "to fail to be convinced by my many arguments is nothing less than a failure of rationality."


In my mind your response to CPoguesFan illustrates her point very well. It seems you dismissed her comment regarding the DOE without much consideration. Please bear in mind she is my wife and I may be a bit biased in my opinion.

I respect that your posts are consistent in following your core values, however I find it odd that you have been avoiding this thread because as you put it "sometimes have thought about it at work, or while resting, or at other inappropriate times, and so I have found that less-frequent reading and posting has been better for me overall". I don't understand why it stresses you out so much to read other people's opinion's unless you are afraid of reading something that undermines your belief system. I guess this is consistent with your post in which you implied that you "never watch political speeches"

I have been following up on your last lengthy post with internet browsing when I have some down time. I was trying to find an article that illustrated how reduced taxes in Sweden helped their economy. I discovered that the legislation only took effect in the middle of 2008 which would explain why I could not find any articles with statistics to bolster your claim. Can you point me to your source?
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Re: The New President

Post Mon Mar 23, 2009 6:39 am

LittleCupcakes wrote:Abolish:
Federal Departments of: Education, Commerce, IRS, Labor, Transportation


So when you (or the source you look to for economic enlightenment) come up with a plan like this, do you/they consider how many people would lose their jobs? I am curious just how many that would be and what would be the plan for them?

LittleCupcakes wrote:Revenues:
Higher tax rates encourage gaming the system (ESPECIALLY for the so-called rich). Lower tax rates are easier to swallow, and so people do not feel the need to resort to all sorts of shenanigans to avoid them, and (as with Reagan and JFK) tax revenues INCREASE over the longer term when rates are lowered; greater economic activity is stimulated AND rich folks PAY taxes instead of AVOIDING them. Is it not obvious that higher taxes PUNISH growth and success? And that growth and success are the driving factors in the economy? Why would one want to punish that which ought be encouraged?


When you say that growth and success are the driving factors in the economy I agree if you are speaking speaking of the middle class. Our middle class is shrinking. We need to push wealth from the upper class to the lower classes. Get the lobbyists out of the tax code and make the tax code very clear so that the "rich" are rewarded tax wise for investing in ways that benefit the lower classes. If they don't want to spend the money (trickle down) then tax the shit out of them and make them go to jail if they break the law (gaming the system or shenanigans). There are no guarantees that reducing taxes leads to spending where it is needed. I would rather see the tax rates go even higher with tax incentives for those who do "trickle" their wealth down.

LittleCupcakes wrote:Ditto for the capital gains tax. If the goal is more investment, then why punish people who do so? Of course, if the goal is punishment (how dare people make money at a greater rate than me?) then sure, go ahead. If we want to see investment plummet, by all means raise the capital gains tax (for our non-USA people, that's basically the tax on the sale of stocks). If you want to force the middle-class out of the market, then absolutely raise those rates. If you want to prevent people from becoming wealthy then please raise those taxes.


Stock profits and real estate profits should be taxed based on one's overall economic standing, the little guy who gets lucky on a stock investment or has the ability to buy a house, spends weekends fixing it up and "flips" it for a profit should be able to keep the majority of the profit.

LittleCupcakes wrote:Encourage wealth formation. Encourage growth. Don't punish success. More people with more money equals more tax revenues.


As I stated previously, I have no background in economics but when I think of things in simple terms I like to assume that all the assets (wealth) on this planet are a fixed quantity. So if you let me make this assumption, then the only way for the rich to get richer is to take wealth away from someone else. Since we all know it is easy to make a million dollars if you already have a million to start with, then one can only assume that all the money (wealth) ends up at the top unless a system is put in place to redistribute the wealth.

So I take your statement "More people with more money equals more tax revenues" and say Enough people have more money, therefore we already have the source for tax revenues.

LittleCupcakes wrote:A thought problem: If the tax rate for individuals were cut to ZERO % today and held there for one year, do you believe economic activity would increase or decrease? And if it were, say, 90%?


This is an interesting question which I am sure a computer model could prove to go either way depending on the assumptions that are made.

Here is my quick analysis:

Since the government spends all of the money it receives through taxes (and then some). One could argue that both 0% and 90% would lead to the same economic activity. The only problem with this analogy is that there are no guarantees that the money enters the economy if it is not taxed and spent by the government. 90% may be the safer bet for more economic activity.

LittleCupcakes wrote:I can point to Ireland, Lithuania, Sweden (which is enjoying excellent results from corporate tax cuts), and Great Britain (which enjoyed a retail boost when the VAT was cut) for starters when it comes to stimulating examples.


I have not researched Ireland, Lithuania or Great Britain yet and as I said in my last post am having trouble finding any data on Sweden. Can you save me some time and post a link for your source?

LittleCupcakes wrote:Let's turn it around, Clash. Where have higher taxes helped an economy recover? And what would be your plan for stimulation, and where has that worked before? And where has a Euro-style economy provided income mobility, low unemployment, and incentives for work? Just see France for a dispositive case.


Again, I have not done the research and can only base my opinion on living through Reaganomics and the articles I have read on Keynesian theory. I will see what I can come up with if time permits.

I have read many articles dealing with economics as a direct result of reading yours and other posts on this thread. Very interesting indeed. Thanks for the input.
Last edited by Clash Cadillac on Mon Mar 23, 2009 6:55 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: The New President

Post Mon Mar 23, 2009 6:50 am

Clash Cadillac wrote:As I stated previously, I have no background in economics but when I think of things in simple terms I like to assume that all the assets (wealth) on this planet are a fixed quantity. So if you let me make this assumption, then the only way for the rich to get richer is to take wealth away from someone else. Since we all know it is easy to make a million dollars if you already have a million to start with, then one can only assume that all the money (wealth) ends up at the top unless a system is put in place to redistribute the wealth.

Actually that is a fallacy when the foundation currency of an economy is a fiat currency. A fiat currency has value based not on a tangible asset of which there is a finite amount (i.e. gold), but rather has value because a trusted entity has declared that it has value (i.e. a government). As an economy grows more wealth exists within that economy. A stagnating or shrinking economy is losing wealth. In theory, as an economy grows, the wealth within that economy becomes distributed to the various income levels within the economy and everyone gets a little bit wealthier. In a stagnant economy the existing wealth still moves around, but it has a tendency to pool in places where money already is.

There's a lot more to this but I'm no economist and will just screw it up. I very much recommend the podcast and blog I've linked to earlier, though. They do a really good job of explaining the fundamentals of a lot of economic theory in layman's terms.
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Re: The New President

Post Mon Mar 23, 2009 6:57 am

DzM wrote:
Clash Cadillac wrote:As I stated previously, I have no background in economics but when I think of things in simple terms I like to assume that all the assets (wealth) on this planet are a fixed quantity. So if you let me make this assumption, then the only way for the rich to get richer is to take wealth away from someone else. Since we all know it is easy to make a million dollars if you already have a million to start with, then one can only assume that all the money (wealth) ends up at the top unless a system is put in place to redistribute the wealth.

Actually that is a fallacy when the foundation currency of an economy is a fiat currency. A fiat currency has value based not on a tangible asset of which there is a finite amount (i.e. gold), but rather has value because a trusted entity has declared that it has value (i.e. a government). As an economy grows more wealth exists within that economy. A stagnating or shrinking economy is losing wealth. In theory, as an economy grows, the wealth within that economy becomes distributed to the various income levels within the economy and everyone gets a little bit wealthier. In a stagnant economy the existing wealth still moves around, but it has a tendency to pool in places where money already is.

There's a lot more to this but I'm no economist and will just screw it up. I very much recommend the podcast and blog I've linked to earlier, though. They do a really good job of explaining the fundamentals of a lot of economic theory in layman's terms.


I meant to check out those links, thanks for the reminder.
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Joined: Tue Mar 06, 2007 4:37 pm
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